I predict McCain

I’ve been following the US presidential election closely for more than half a year now, and when I got the message that Obama chooses Joe Biden as his vice president I changed my mind about who I think is going to win this election. My adjusted prediction is that John McCain is going to win.

I think that he can snatch a close victory in november because now Obama has basically invalidated his own best arguments. The Obama campaign likes to paint the picture of McCain as problematically old and part of the washington establishment, but now they have proven that being old and part of the establishment is not a problem when choosing a vice president candidate.

Also, I don’t think that you should underestimate Obama’s consistent opposition against the war in Iraq as giving him the edge that he needed to defeat Hillary in the primaries. Now that he has chosen a running mate that voted yes to the war, that argument is weakened as well.

Part of me thinks that this is kind of sad. I really liked the idea of an american president that was a brilliant public speaker. I also think that Obama is the smarter guy and being intelligent is one of the most important assets a president can have. On the other hand, with McCain we get a president that is pro free trade, which is a really good thing, especially for those of us living in Europe.

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